411 FXUS63 KGRR 031837 AFDGRR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 137 PM EST Tue Nov 3 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Upper Low Brings Rain Wednesday then Cooler && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 137 PM EST Tue Nov 3 2026 - Upper Low Brings Rain Wednesday then Cooler Height falls commence this evening as shortwave upper ridging is replaced by a slow moving upper low the next couple days. Still looks like the bulk of the convective rains will remain south of the forecast area with total QPF through Thursday generally less than a quarter inch. Isolated thunderstorms are possible Wednesday afternoon but dry slotting occurs rather quickly as the surface low tracks across Wisconsin and the Michigan U.P. Then cooler and showery weather Thursday and Friday with wraparound moisture and some lake enhancement as mid level thermal trough axis moves through. Models have trended further north with the Sunday clipper and associated precip looks to stay to the north. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 1255 PM EST Tue Nov 3 2026 VFR will likely stay through this evening with scattered to broken clouds mostly above 3,000 feet. Gusty south winds during the day will become low level wind shear later tonight. Rain showers moving through roughly between 11 and 14 Z Wednesday should be relatively light, though the HRRR suggests temporary IFR visibility is possible, while ceilings also become MVFR. && .CLIMATE... Issued at 615 AM EST Tue Nov 3 2026 Daily record maximum temperatures for November 3 (and the most recent occurrence) are as follows: Grand Rapids (GRR): 76 degrees (2015) Lansing (LAN): 77 degrees (2015) Kalamazoo (AZO): 74 degrees (2015) Muskegon (MKG): 70 degrees (2022) Battle Creek (BTL): 75 degrees (2015) Holland (BIV): 76 degrees (1938) Daily record warm minimum temperatures for November 3: Grand Rapids (GRR): 59 degrees (1938) Lansing (LAN): 58 degrees (1987) Kalamazoo (AZO): 56 degrees (2005) Muskegon (MKG): 57 degrees (2008) Battle Creek (BTL): 55 degrees (1977) Holland (BIV): 58 degrees (1938) && .GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for LMZ844>846. Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Thursday for LMZ847>849. && $$ DISCUSSION...Ostuno AVIATION...CAS CLIMATE...BRC

NWS GRR Office Area Forecast Discussion