011
FXUS63 KGRR 091859
AFDGRR
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
259 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Scattered Thunderstorms Tonight
- Upper High builds in Next Week
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 258 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026
- Scattered Thunderstorms Tonight
Storms have remained below severe limits so far this afternoon.
There is still a threat for hail and damaging winds this evening
across the southeast zones where instability is greatest. A cold
front slowly sinks south overnight then slows and stalls on Friday
just south of Lower Michigan with a low chance of lingering
showers across the far south.
- Upper High builds in Next Week
Heights rise early next week with an upper high centered across
the upper Mid-west and Northern Plains extending into Michigan
early in the week, bringing hot and dry weather. The details are
still to be determined, but height falls are expected mid-week as
upper troughing develops across eastern Canada. This could result
in a cooling trend by mid to late week and possibly some much
needed rainfall if MCS activity forms along the top of the ridge
and advects into Michigan.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 126 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026
Scattered thunderstorms are likely through the afternoon, and
based on development trends have gone TEMPO Thunder at LAN/JXN.
Convective LLWS and microbursts with winds of 35+ knots are
possible with any storms. Thunderstorms diminish this evening
followed by a period of fog and low cloud development overnight.
MVFR conditions are likely, with IFR possible mainly at LAN. Some
discrepancy in guidance over the extent of low-level stratus vs
fog coverage, but flight category forecast remains the same. Gusts
to 15 knots, higher in thunderstorms, continue through the
afternoon with light winds overnight. Then winds increase to 3-8
knots from the north to northwest Friday.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 258 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026
Scattered thunderstorms will be ending from north to south this
evening with a low chance for gusty winds and small hail. Then
high pressure builds in for the weekend and into next week. North
winds could gust over 20 knots Friday evening as the high builds
in then winds should be blo 15 knots for most of the weekend.
&&
.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...Thomas
MARINE...Ostuno
NWS GRR Office Area Forecast Discussion