781
FXUS63 KGRR 251855
AFDGRR
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
255 PM EDT Tue Aug 25 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Chance for thunderstorms Wednesday, maybe some severe weather
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 255 PM EDT Tue Aug 25 2026
- Chance for thunderstorms Wednesday, maybe some severe weather
Cold front on track for Wednesday with some light showers still
possible early in the morning. Main time frame for any severe
weather still looks to be noonish and after with all weather
clearing the area by 8pm. Morning showers should be pretty
scattered and are likely to inhibit afternoon storm potential for
a good deal of the area - especially north of I-96 and west of
US-131. Some warm/moist air will build in ahead of the front into
southern lower Michigan...where best potential for destabilization
will occur mid-afternoon into the early evening. This leaves the
best potential for severe weather near I-94 and east of
US-131...probably closer to US-127 and east.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 210 PM EDT Tue Aug 25 2026
VFR conditions and light/variable winds will prevail at all West
Michigan TAF sites this afternoon into this evening, with surface
high pressure overhead. As the high slips to the east, light SSW
winds and weak warm air advection will commence. This will result
in thickening mid-upper cloudiness after midnight.
Thanks to said warm air advection, increasing low level moisture,
and approaching cold front, a risk for showers/storms will be
introduced after 12Z Wednesday at MKG/GRR/AZO/BTL. Will
tentatively refrain from adding precipitation at LAN/JXN through
18Z.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 255 PM EDT Tue Aug 25 2026
Winds and waves to increase overnight tonight making for a hazardous
boating and swimming day Wednesday. 3 to 7 foot waves will be
common...especially in the northern zones into late Wednesday
evening. Waves are likely to be a little less toward St joseph but
borderline enough in the northern part of Van Buren County to not
leave that zone out of the headlines at this time.
&&
.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...Beach Hazards Statement from 2 AM EDT Wednesday through
Wednesday evening for MIZ037-043-050-056-064-071.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM Wednesday to midnight EDT
Wednesday night for LMZ844>849.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Maczko
AVIATION...Smith
MARINE...Maczko
NWS GRR Office Area Forecast Discussion