382 FXUS63 KGRR 161129 AFDGRR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 629 AM EST Mon Feb 16 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Quiet Weather early this week then Storminess && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 258 AM EST Mon Feb 16 2026 - Quiet Weather early this week then Storminess Quiet weather pattern continues today as a clipper low tracks north of Lower Michigan, with little if any precipitation. We will have to watch model and radar trends to see if any light precip will reach the far northern forecast as suggested by some model guidance. Milder temperatures continue as the polar jet remains to the north until later this week. An area of warm advection and isentropic ascent will bring rain Tuesday night and Wednesday with the highest chances across the northern forecast area. Thermal profiles of model forecast soundings show slight potential for freezing rain across the northern forecast area, but any impacts could be limited to a small area of higher elevations in Osceola and Clare Counties for late Tuesday night. A second wave of low pressure late on Thursday and Friday could bring rain/mixed precipitation which should change to snow showers the weekend as cold air filters in on the back side of the low. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 628 AM EST Mon Feb 16 2026 VFR conditions will prevail today then areas of patchy fog tonight will bring another round of MVFR and IFR conditions generally after 06Z. && .GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...None. MARINE...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Ostuno AVIATION...Ostuno

NWS GRR Office Area Forecast Discussion