235
FXUS63 KGRR 092302
AFDGRR
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
702 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Scattered Thunderstorms Tonight
- Upper High builds in Next Week
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 258 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026
- Scattered Thunderstorms Tonight
Storms have remained below severe limits so far this afternoon.
There is still a threat for hail and damaging winds this evening
across the southeast zones where instability is greatest. A cold
front slowly sinks south overnight then slows and stalls on Friday
just south of Lower Michigan with a low chance of lingering
showers across the far south.
- Upper High builds in Next Week
Heights rise early next week with an upper high centered across
the upper Mid-west and Northern Plains extending into Michigan
early in the week, bringing hot and dry weather. The details are
still to be determined, but height falls are expected mid-week as
upper troughing develops across eastern Canada. This could result
in a cooling trend by mid to late week and possibly some much
needed rainfall if MCS activity forms along the top of the ridge
and advects into Michigan.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 702 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026
Lingering thunderstorms north of the terminals should remain north
of the TAF sites until they dissipate with sunset. Light northeast
flow off of Lake Huron overnight will support fog development,
with a period of low stratus possible near daybreak. Generally
MVFR conditions favored but IFR is possible, best chance at LAN.
Any fog/low stratus should mix to VFR after sunrise. Low chance
(20%) of showers or thunderstorms developing near I-94 after 16z
Friday. Will not include in TAFs given low confidence but this
will need to be monitored in subsequent forecasts. Winds become
light and variable overnight before increasing to 5-10 kts out of
the northwest on Friday.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 258 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026
Scattered thunderstorms will be ending from north to south this
evening with a low chance for gusty winds and small hail. Then
high pressure builds in for the weekend and into next week. North
winds could gust over 20 knots Friday evening as the high builds
in then winds should be blo 15 knots for most of the weekend.
&&
.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...Thomas
MARINE...Ostuno
NWS GRR Office Area Forecast Discussion