007
FXUS63 KGRR 111837
AFDGRR
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
237 PM EDT Sun Oct 11 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Rain Mid-Week then Cooler
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 237 PM EDT Sun Oct 11 2026
- Rain Mid-Week then Cooler
Showers are moving off to the east of Lower Michigan on Sunday
afternoon, but a thin deck of stratocu remains. Upper ridging with
fair and warm weather continues into Monday before a shortwave
trough rides over the top of the ridge with a low pressure center
tracking across the central Great Lakes on Tuesday. Showers are
possible in an area of warm advection Monday night into Tuesday
but the steadier rain associated with an area of frontogenesis
appears to move across northern Lower Michigan.
Another chance for rain comes on late Tuesday and early Wednesday
across the southern forecast area as a trailing cold front moves
through and stalls. This is followed by another low moving along
the front and bringing rain on Thursday. Cooler air moves in as an
upper trough digs across the eastern CONUS by the end of the
week.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 113 PM EDT Sun Oct 11 2026
A large area of clouds cover the terminals except MKG, where it`s
clear. We`ll see the clouds decrease from northwest to southeast
throughout the rest of the afternoon into the evening, leading to
mostly clear skies overnight. There may be some fog toward sunrise
near JXN, but will burn off by 9am.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 237 PM EDT Sun Oct 11 2026
Winds and waves will increase on Monday and conditions may be
hazardous to small craft at times Monday night and Tuesday.
&&
.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Ostuno
AVIATION...04
MARINE...Ostuno
NWS GRR Office Area Forecast Discussion