771 FXUS63 KGRR 131118 AFDGRR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 618 AM EST Fri Nov 13 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Lake effect showers into the weekend then dry and milder && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 223 AM EST Fri Nov 13 2026 - Lake effect showers into the weekend then dry and milder The Great Lakes region is between an upper low across the NE CONUS and a sharp upper ridge to the west as an omega block is in place across North America. The resulting cyclonic flow will continue through Saturday before the blocking breaks down and heights rise by Sunday. Lake effect rain and snow showers will gradually end this weekend as the ridge flattens and moves east across the region, with dry and mild conditions into mid-week. Return flow moisture and a low moving across southern Canada could being showers by the end of the week. && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 618 AM EST Fri Nov 13 2026 VFR conditions this morning except MVFR conditions early across southeast Lower Michigan with ceilings at JXN around 1500 feet AGL. We expect improvement to VFR there this morning as well. North winds today AOB 10 knots. Lake effect rain and snow showers should remain over Lake Michigan. && .GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...None. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for LMZ844>849. && $$ DISCUSSION...Ostuno AVIATION...Ostuno

NWS GRR Office Area Forecast Discussion


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