411
FXUS63 KGRR 031837
AFDGRR
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
137 PM EST Tue Nov 3 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Upper Low Brings Rain Wednesday then Cooler
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 137 PM EST Tue Nov 3 2026
- Upper Low Brings Rain Wednesday then Cooler
Height falls commence this evening as shortwave upper ridging is
replaced by a slow moving upper low the next couple days. Still
looks like the bulk of the convective rains will remain south of
the forecast area with total QPF through Thursday generally less
than a quarter inch.
Isolated thunderstorms are possible Wednesday afternoon but dry
slotting occurs rather quickly as the surface low tracks across
Wisconsin and the Michigan U.P. Then cooler and showery weather
Thursday and Friday with wraparound moisture and some lake
enhancement as mid level thermal trough axis moves through.
Models have trended further north with the Sunday clipper and
associated precip looks to stay to the north.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1255 PM EST Tue Nov 3 2026
VFR will likely stay through this evening with scattered to broken
clouds mostly above 3,000 feet. Gusty south winds during the day
will become low level wind shear later tonight. Rain showers
moving through roughly between 11 and 14 Z Wednesday should be
relatively light, though the HRRR suggests temporary IFR
visibility is possible, while ceilings also become MVFR.
&&
.CLIMATE...
Issued at 615 AM EST Tue Nov 3 2026
Daily record maximum temperatures for November 3 (and the most
recent occurrence) are as follows:
Grand Rapids (GRR): 76 degrees (2015)
Lansing (LAN): 77 degrees (2015)
Kalamazoo (AZO): 74 degrees (2015)
Muskegon (MKG): 70 degrees (2022)
Battle Creek (BTL): 75 degrees (2015)
Holland (BIV): 76 degrees (1938)
Daily record warm minimum temperatures for November 3:
Grand Rapids (GRR): 59 degrees (1938)
Lansing (LAN): 58 degrees (1987)
Kalamazoo (AZO): 56 degrees (2005)
Muskegon (MKG): 57 degrees (2008)
Battle Creek (BTL): 55 degrees (1977)
Holland (BIV): 58 degrees (1938)
&&
.GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for LMZ844>846.
Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST Thursday for LMZ847>849.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Ostuno
AVIATION...CAS
CLIMATE...BRC
NWS GRR Office Area Forecast Discussion
